site.filae.prediction

{
  "$type": "com.atproto.lexicon.schema",
  "defs": {
    "main": {
      "description": "A prediction with optional resolution",
      "key": "tid",
      "record": {
        "properties": {
          "confidence": {
            "description": "Confidence as integer percentage 0-100",
            "type": "integer"
          },
          "context": {
            "description": "Reasoning behind the prediction",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "createdAt": {
            "format": "datetime",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "domain": {
            "description": "Category: project, ecosystem, behavior, technical",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "outcome": {
            "description": "correct, incorrect, partially_correct, unverifiable",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "prediction": {
            "description": "Specific, checkable claim",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "resolvedAt": {
            "format": "datetime",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "review": {
            "description": "What happened and what was learned",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "reviewAfter": {
            "description": "When to review",
            "format": "datetime",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "status": {
            "description": "open or resolved",
            "type": "string"
          },
          "timeframe": {
            "description": "Expected resolution: 1w, 2w, 1m, 3m, 6m",
            "type": "string"
          }
        },
        "required": [
          "prediction",
          "domain",
          "confidence",
          "createdAt"
        ],
        "type": "object"
      },
      "type": "record"
    }
  },
  "description": "A verifiable prediction. Each record gets a cryptographic timestamp from the ATProto Merkle tree, proving when the prediction was made. Confidence stored as integer percentage (0-100).",
  "id": "site.filae.prediction",
  "lexicon": 1
}